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Germany’s Role In The EU, Let’s See Its Poltical Role

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Germany's Role In The EU

Germany’s Role In The EU, Let’s See Its Poltical Role: European politics always pays attention to the results of the German elections. Whoever the next German chancellor is.

He or she will represent the EU’s undeniable economic powerhouse.

Even though this election cycle has been the most unpredictable in nearly two decades, it is unlikely to bring about many changes like the last.

Germany’s Role In The EU, Let’s See Its Poltical Role

Germany's Role In The EU

Overview

Outside of Germany, many people believe that Germany has weathered the Covid-19 crisis better than nearly all of its European peers.

This election is taking place against that paradoxical backdrop. However, the majority of Germans disagree.

Because of Germany’s federal structure, they believe the country has only “muddled through” the crisis.

This has result in a tangle web of local Covid regulations and restrictions due to the constant competition between the federal and Länder levels.

Local governments have also shown an unusually high level of inefficiency in their response to the recent floods.

The current crisis has also highlighted Germany’s public administration’s laggard status when it comes to digitization.

As a result, the German electorate is generally dissatisfied with the country’s functioning.

As a result, the new administration will be less likely to see the United States as a role model for other countries.

The Will Of People And Leadership Of Chancellor

There has been a lot of talk about who will be the next German chancellor. The approach taken here is ill-advise.

Chancellor Angela Merkel’s personal views are of secondary importance in the German political system

A number of key decisions are make by coalition party groups, which are in turn influenced by their own members and a wide range of outside pressure groups.

For the first time in decades, the chancellor’s role and influence will be diluted in Germany if there is a three-party coalition government.

Only when the European Council is forced to make emergency decisions in a crisis do the Chancellor’s personal opinions (and choices) matter.

The Bundestag was forced to ratify Merkel’s policies during the eurocrisis because ‘there was simply no alternative.’.

Pro European

Germany must remain ‘pro-European,’ according to the elite and all likely ruling parties.

In contrast to other large member states, Germany does not have a significant ‘Eurosceptic’ party or undercurrent. The Alternative for Germany (AfD) may seem

dangerous to some, but its strength and influence pale in comparison to other populist parties such as Italy’s La Lega.

As a result, it will not able to break free of the suffocating atmosphere created by other parties.

On the other hand, Die Linke (German for “The Left”), which is somewhat Eurosceptic, is not expecting to a ruling party in Germany.

The SPD, on the other hand, hasn’t rule out bringing them on board in the future.

Because the major parties are unlikely to form a coalition because of ideological differences.

Some minor shifts in political tone or position may occur, but no major shifts are expected, especially in Germany’s pro-European stance. In other words, focus on the middle ground.

A Concentration On Three Crucial Policy Areas

In three key areas, however, the new administration has the potential to make significant changes, even if they aren’t revolutionary.

The first and, arguably, most important one is the move to a greener economy.

Under Merkel’s leadership, Germany has consistently endorsed EU climate policies while simultaneously fighting to protect its energy-intensive industries and the automobile sector.

With her title as “Klimakanzlerin” (German for “climate chancellor”), Angela Merkel has led a government that has consistently avoided making specific policy decisions.

This is likely to change if the Greens join the SPD as a junior coalition partner in the new government.

If the EU is meeting its ambitious climate goals, German policy must become more cogent.

The most significant shifts are likely to occur in the areas of finance and economics.

Olaf Scholz, the SPD leader and current Finance Minister who could be the next chancellor.

Once said that despite being more pro-European integration than his “tight-fisted” predecessor, he’s “still the Finance Minister of Germany”.

He’s saying that no German leader can give taxpayer money to European projects unless it’s in Germany’s best interest to do so.

Fiscal Policy | Germany’s Role In The EU

A conservative Germany will continue to be a roadblock to a more active fiscal policy, in part because conservative values remain popular among German voters.

Perhaps, purse strings will be loosen a bit for environmentally friendly investments.

But once more, don’t put all your eggs in one basket when it comes to a significant shift in German economic policy.

Bottom Line

Finally, foreign and defence policy is still a top priority after Afghanistan and Aukus.

On paper, Germany is likely to support a broader European Foreign Policy, but without Germany’s full consent, the EU will be unable to build “hard power” instruments.

A new government lead by these parties. May well consequence in no real progress.

As well as towards ‘hard’ EU military capabilities. Regardless of how desirable the current geopolitical environment considers them to be.

The SPD membership opposed drones for the Bundeswehr and the Greens. They are not keen at all on any increase in military expenditure. For reaching the 2% NATO spending ceiling.

If all likely ruling parties support QMV in the Council for foreign affairs and security issues. However, some progress could make in the right direction.

As a result, getting excited about a truly unpredictable German election has no downside.

Such elections are a rarity, in fact. However, once the smoke clears and the coalition agreement is signed, don’t hold your breath.

Because of this, Germany has never gone through any major upheaval or shifts in government.

A key test of Germany’s commitment. As the EU’s unofficial leader will be how the new government approaches Europe and deals with the aforementioned policy areas. Keep an eye on things.

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